Closeup of election vote button with text that says 2020
Friends, I have never written what I’m about to write. I have not written it, thought it, said it, or tweeted it. But here we are.
If the election were held today, Donald J. Trump would be re-elected President of the United States.
This can change. It can be sabotaged with one tweet by the President. Republicans need to understand this has everything to do with strategic mistakes by the Democrats, not really anything the President himself has done to salvage the situation. However, the President should be thanking the RNC for a very competent and effective convention and thanking the Democrats for a zoom call.
The Democrats’ mistakes are as follows:
The Democrats made the mistake of thinking America was in their bubble. They think it is Obama’s economic boom; Trump’s economic collapse; and Orange Man Bad. Most Americans don’t care for the President, but they do not see him as the boogeyman. The sustained hate from the media and Democrats against the President have, at this point, become “boy who cried wolf” territory that most Americans have moved on from and tuned out. Democrats concluded everyone would agree with their attacks and if you didn’t, you were a white supremacist. Americans moved on to other things.
Democrats blamed the President, not the virus, for an economic collapse. Americans remember what their lives were like under Obama and under Trump. Prior to the virus, Americans had the lowest unemployment they have experienced. Democrats attribute that to Obama, but Americans tend to credit the man in the White House at the moment. Saying Trump wrecked the economy also explicitly contradicts the views of Americans who blame the virus. Americans want to vote for someone who will save their 401(K) more than they want to vote for a nice guy. They don’t blame Trump for the economic downturn and they remember not experiencing that level of economic productivity when Biden was in the White House.
Democrats lost their focused arguments on the virus. In blaming everything on the President, they failed to hone in on credible points about the virus. Very much like the President throwing everything against the wall to see what would stick to Biden, Democrats have blamed everything on the President and failed to distinguish. That makes each attack less effective. Likewise, they have attacked so much that the public is tuning it all out. If you will, Democrats’ viral attacks peaked too soon. As the virus recedes, Americans are looking to the economy, they see the economy rebounding, and now go back to the second point and let the reader understand. It doesn’t help that Biden is saying he’d shut back down the country.
Lastly, and most importantly, the Democrats have let themselves be held hostage to the radical left. They had a week to address the riots with their convention and they took a pass. They waiting for a polling shift to be forceful against it and even then Biden’s response was anemic. In 2016, crime was not a top 15 issue in Pew’s research. Now, it is the number five issue in America with guns at number seven and more Americans supporting the President’s position on both. As much as Democrats want to say this is happening in Trump’s America, Americans understand it is Biden supporters in Democrat cities rioting and burning down businesses. Crime is becoming a central issue of the campaign and Biden is on the side of the criminals. That statement may sound like hyperbole, but then you’re leaning towards Biden and don’t understand outside your bubble. We are in Willie Horton 2.0 territory and Democrats who internalized that as a race issue will lose again on that issue.
At this point, I get the feeling a lot of voters feel like they’re in a hostage situation with the left. If they don’t give the White House to Biden, their neighborhoods will burn. Joe Biden’s own rhetoric is playing into that view.
Joe, it is your supporters burning down businesses and you think to make it stop that voters have to give in and toss Trump? That pisses people off. The shakedown could have been effective because a lot of Americans just want to live peacefully. But it has gone on so long and become so violent that it has pissed off middle America and driven then into the arms of Donald Trump.
This is recoverable by Biden. But if the violence suddenly goes away, it gives the Republicans the opportunity to make the case Biden could have controlled this all along.
We have a highly competitive race now and the President can thank the media and Antifa for that. The bubble they both inhabit is a bubble most Americans are not in. Unless they pop the bubble and relate more honestly to what is happening outside the NYC-DC corridor, they’ll help feed the President’s energy.
Democrat leaders in big cities, not the virus, are making voters feel unsafe all of a sudden. They need to reverse that to win because right now the markets are doing fine. The cities are burning.