Iowa is largely unrepresentative of the nation and minority voters have not joined in the race yet. In fact, there is a ways to go.
Iowa, if anything, weeds out candidates and makes clear some should are not viable. Elizabeth Warren, despite her showing, has no path forward because Bernie Sanders occupies that lane. Klobuchar and Buttigieg might want to fight out the establishment lane with Biden, but Biden gets votes Buttigieg can’t and has access to money Klobuchar does not.
The wild card, of course, is Mike Bloomberg. He makes the post-Iowa path problematic. Bloomberg wrote off the early states and chose not to even try to participate. Instead, he is outspending every other candidate on advertisements and that is working to his advantage in national polling. Bloomberg is skyrocketing in national polls and creating space for him on Super Tuesday.
Biden needs to sort things out. His campaign has run on viability against Trump and it is his still to lose, but lose it he just might. His campaign needs a better theme.
Ironically, Biden and Bloomberg just might wind up being the saving grace for Bernie Sanders’ campaign. Bernie’s true believers will not be dazzled by a billionaire’s money. Bloomberg and Biden can fight over second place while Bernie takes Buttigieg and Warren’s supporters.
Now on to New Hampshire.