The President’s greatest weakness and vulnerability has always been the Senate. Privately, at least a half-dozen Republican senators are already open to impeachment if the House Democrats follow a responsible procedure. More could come if they decide throwing Trump overboard is better than keeping him.
Right now, a lot of senators are probably starting to think they have nothing to lose. Why? Because the Senate is suddenly in jeopardy. New polling shows Arizona, Iowa, Maine, and North Carolina are not going well for the GOP right now. They already expect to lose Colorado. So that’s five seats at serious risk, which gives the Democrats a healthy buffer.
Likewise, if Arizona and North Carolina are gone, so too is the presidency, so what does the GOP have to lose?
President Trump seems to have it in his head that he’s just got to turn out his base. Perhaps, but he cannot afford to do that by driving voters into the open arms of Democrats. Yes, it is early. But the early warning signs are there. Voters have been overwhelmingly consistent this whole year that they oppose the President and do so at margins that would impact the Electoral College. Suburban women are rapidly drifting to the Democrats.
President Trump is screwing up so badly right now that a new Democrat will be able to blame Trump for four years for any economic downturn or foreign policy or national security disaster. President Trump has burned bridges with an incredible number of voters, including within his own base. On the Syrian situation, the now reversed Doral golf course situation, farm subsidies, etc. he is handing the Democrats gift after gift and costing the GOP the Senate if this situation continues. If Joe Biden is the Democrats’ nominee, voters already know him so a money advantage will be of limited use.
The President must fix this situation. He is dragging down the Senate GOP and if the Senate GOP thinks it is going, they will gladly take out the President with them and take their chances with President Pence.
No amount of Club For Growth spending will save the President if Senate Republicans conclude Chuck Schumer is goinig to be the Senate Majority Leader unless they take radical measures.