A new poll from Fox
News confirms that the race for the Democratic presidential nomination is now
a two-person race. Following Bernie Sanders’ heart attack, both Joe Biden and
Elizabeth Warren have gained while the Vermont senator has stagnated and Kamala
Harris’ slide continues.
In the new poll, Biden and Sanders together command the
support of 54 percent of Democratic voters with Biden up three points to 32
percent and Warren up six points to 22 percent. Bernie Sanders was
statistically unchanged with a one-point drop to 17 percent. Kamala Harris lost
two points, falling to five percent, followed by Pete Buttigieg at four percent
and Beto O’Rourke at three. No other candidate polled higher than two percent
while “don’t know/none of the above” drew six percent.
Interestingly, Democratic primary voters say that the
Ukraine scandal has made them more likely to support Joe Biden by 21 to 10
percent. Sanders’ heart attack made 31 percent less likely to support him.
In the Real
Clear Politics average of polls, Biden still holds a slight lead after
declining since the onset of the Ukraine whistleblower scandal in mid-September.
More recent polling shows an uptick for Biden over the past few days. Elizabeth
Warren now trails by an average of 1.5 points after a slow climb in the polls
that began back in June.
Both Biden and Warren both seem to be benefitting from the
destruction of the Harris campaign and concerns about the health of Sen.
Sanders after his Sept.
30 heart attack. Sanders dropped three points in the polling average since
his health scare.
Despite the media narrative that Warren is favored in the
Democratic primary, Joe Biden remains the frontrunner. However, the race is
hotly contested and could be upended by scandals or gaffes on the part of
either candidate, such as this week’s revelation that Warren’s claim
that she was fired for being pregnant was not true. At this point, it looks
as though the race will go down to the wire and will likely hinge on grassroots
get-out-the-vote efforts at the state and local levels.