The latest WSJ/NBC poll of the Democratic field yields no big surprises as to who’s on top: Joe Biden still leads, and Elizabeth Warren is about 6 points behind him. What is surprising is the depth of division within Democrats along racial, age, and educational lines.
Biden’s support erodes quickly and dramatically outside of older white and black voters. To a lesser degree, college-educated voters prefer Warren over Biden. Sanders leads the under-35 crowd, with a surprising showing by Andrew Yang in the double-digits. Warren and Sanders lead with Hispanic voters, and Biden is king of the hill among blacks, likely from his strong association with Barack Obama.
It will be interesting to see how this division plays out, whether any of the candidates leading in a particular segment gains traction in the others, or if any of the candidates outside the “top tier” double-digits (Biden, Warren, Sanders) can break out.
Of the top three, only Biden is remotely acceptable to me, but then again, his frequent gaffes are becoming more than just meme-fodder. They indicate a potential mental impairment due to aging or some other issue we don’t know about. If Joe wants to have a shot at the White House, he needs to stop telling stories.
Trump running against Elizabeth Warren is just too much of a headache for me to contemplate right now. It will be ugly and mean and gross.
More and more, it appears to me that the Democrats don’t know who they want to run, only that they want Trump out. Given the candidates on top right now, it will be Republican voters who determine the general election results, which means what we’ve been saying all along is likely true. This is still, right now, Trump’s race to lose.