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Washington Examiner’s David Drucker Says Election Could Go Either Way

“Trump will juice turnout on the Republican side, but Democrats will also be motivated.”

Speaking to Erick Erickson at the 2019 Resurgent Gathering, David Drucker of the Washington Examiner said that many Republican donors who were not engaged in 2016 are writing checks to the president for his reelection campaign. They don’t like his behavior, but they like his policy, Drucker said.

Mr. Drucker added that many voters in the suburbs are so turned off by the president’s behavior that they will not support him. “They say that if one of his rallies is on tv that I can’t watch it with children in the room,” he added.

“Trump will juice turnout on the Republican side,” Drucker pondered about 2020, “But Democrats will also be motivated.”

“If the election were held today, I think Republicans would hold the Senate,” he added.

“One of the reasons that Republicans would hold the Senate is that Susan Collins is running for reelection in Maine,” Drucker said. Although Collins is widely considered to be a RINO by other Republicans, Drucker added: “I don’t think that a more conservative Republican could win in Maine.”

There are several Republican senators whose seats are at risk. Corey Gardner of Colorado is up for re-election in a state that has become purple over the past few elections. Likewise, Martha McSally in Arizona will be facing a tough Democratic opponent in Mark Kelly, the astronaut husband of Gabby Giffords.

Drucker said that Thom Tillis of North Carolina is the most vulnerable Republican senator, due to a contentious primary. He added that if Tillis wins the primary, he would be favored to win in the general election.

Drucker said that Democrats are going through the same “angst” that Republicans have experienced over the past decade. Many Democrats still like Obama, but the progressive factions of the party are not happy with what they see as his moderate legacy, much like many Republicans were not happy with George W. Bush’s legacy.

With respect to the Democratic primary, Drucker said that Joe Biden was not a moderate, but was an “old school liberal.” Drucker believes that if Biden can show life, which he did in the most recent debate, and defend Obama era policies such as Obamacare and his immigration policy, Biden will become the Obama Democrat, which would give him an edge in the race.

Drucker said that the media likes compelling stories so “if there’s a compelling politician, even if he has no chance of winning, he’ll get media coverage.” Pete Buttigieg is an example of a candidate that the media likes to cover, but who has not caught on with voters. On the contrary, Beto O’Rourke was a media darling in his Senate race last year but has been all but abandoned by the media in the presidential campaign as more interesting candidates emerged.

Drucker said that he believes that there is a bias against conservatives from most mainstream media but says that he doesn’t believe that it is intentional. Instead, he says he believes that it is a result of a different worldview on the part of journalists and the conservative subjects that they cover.

Erickson suggested that Donald Trump may become the first president to win twice while losing the popular vote twice.

“That’s what they are planning on,” Drucker replied. “He has connected with the right voters in the right places.”

“But, as I like to tell Republicans,” he added, “there’s no telling what can happen if Democrats nominate someone who is likable, trustworthy, and not under FBI investigation.”

The scandals surrounding Hillary Clinton undercut the one big reason that voters might have supported her. The bad judgment surrounding Hillary’s decision to use a private email server cut to the core of whether voters could trust her to lead the country.

In 2020, “it’s all about margins,” Drucker continued. “And whether Trump can eat into that suburban drift.” In 2018, Democratic gains in suburbs around the country led to a blue wave in the House of Representatives.

“The election could go either way as of today,” Drucker said. “We just don’t know enough.”

Drucker said that the big stories for the next six months are attitudes of Republicans who are turned off by Trump as well as which candidates Democrats rally around. He noted that disaffected conservatives and moderates might be willing to vote for some Democratic candidates against Donald Trump but not others.

“I’m trying to talk to voters and get the lay of the land,” he said, “I want to talk to campaigns and find out more about their ground game.”

“I can only get that by talking to voters.”

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