This article is being published just before 2200 GMT. And as of right now:
- The British House of Commons voted for the EU-offered compromise that delays Brexit until April 12 if Parliament does not support Theresa May’s compromise deal and May 22 if they do
- The Parliament then voted to support that timeline
- The Parliament then voted against 8 different Brexit alternative plans offered by various Members of Parliament, including a second referendum, a no-deal plan, and a customs union
- The Democratic Unionist Party, an Irish political party in coalition with the Theresa May’s Tory government earlier announced that they will not support Theresa May’s deal
- It does not appear, based on the DUP defection and other Tory defectors, that there is support for Theresa May’s plan
- The Parliament looks set to have more votes on Monday on Brexit alternatives, but nothing appears to have majority support
- House of Commons Speaker John Bercow, who is officially nonpartisan, has doubted whether or not Theresa May’s deal can be voted on a third time without a substantial change
All of those events of the past few hours on this Wednesday make highly likely, in other words, that on April 12, the United Kingdom is going to leave the European Union without a deal.
It seems increasingly certain, actually.
Watch the House of Commons at this pivotal moment in Britain’s history LIVE right now on the BBC.