There will be one candidate tonight on stage with 0.0% chance of winning Iowa, 0.0% chance of winning New Hampshire and 100% chance of being an obnoxious jerk. His name is John Kasich. Kasich thinks his road to the White House is through New Hampshire. Sure, according to the RCP average, Kasich is polling in 3rd. But when you dig a little deeper, the picture is not so rosy. Bush’s support has doubled in the state, Cruz’s support has nearly doubled, Chris Christie is on a meteoric rise according to Frank Luntz and Kasich is still around 20 points behind Trump. Kasich also has the the lowest percent of firmly committed (34%) and totally committed (7%) voters of the field in the Granite state. On top of all of this, Kasich is 7th out of 7 in tonights debate and will be positioned on the far left hand side of the stage.
All of this combined is the perfect storm.
John Kasich is going to be an absolute obnoxious jerk tonight. He is clearly desperate and already has a propensity to talk over moderators and cut off other candidates. This morning Politico reported that the moderators are going to get aggressive, pin candidates down and take control of the debate. The last Fox Business debate was after the disastrous CNBC debate and the moderators took it easy by their own admission. Expect major fireworks tonight between Neil Cavuto/Maria Bartiromo and John Kasich.
The perfect storm is coming.